Indian Economy Review | September 2020

H I G H L I G H T S •  Vodafone tax controversy back to haunt the Govt•  No resolution of the tax case even after 13 years•  What it actually means for Govt finances•  A lot about investment sentiment and a political promise•  The 2014 Budget and its treatment of the Vodafone tax•  […]

Indian Economy Review | August 2020

H I G H L I G H T S Covid-19 has made growth challenges more complex, says RBI No definitive growth forecast; post-pandemic recovery to be different No hasty or disruptive withdrawal of regulatory easing A long list of policy prescriptions for boosting the economy Focus on global supply chains and free trade agreements […]

Indian Economy Review | July 2020

H I G H L I G H T S  Financial sector gets the Covid-19 jitters RBI’s financial stress report raises NPA alarms Challenges of moratorium, restructuring, capitalisation & funding To extend moratorium or not to extend it beyond August One-time loan restructuring and its implications for IBC Demand for more bank capital; Govt finances […]

Indian Economy Review | June 2020

H I G H L I G H T S  Moody’s paints a gloomy picture   S&P softens the Moody’s blow Growth may recover, but indebtedness will rise Different strokes from Moody’s and S&P China story remains unscathed Booster dose for Indian agriculture Freeing up inter-state farm trading Leg-up for contract farming, with pre-fixed farm prices […]

Indian Economy Review | May 2020

Surprises galore in the Modi package The Narendra Modi government sprang a series of surprises on almost every commentator and critic, who had been wondering how it would meet its commitment of rolling out as large an economic package as Rs 20 lakh crore to counter the adverse impact of Covid-19 on the economy. On […]

Indian Economy Review | April 2020

Making growth forecasts post-Covid becomes more difficult How serious will be the impact of the Covid-19 outbreak on India’s economic growth?  The range of estimates on India’s growth of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020-21 is quite wide and, therefore, puzzling. It is difficult to state with certainty at this point in time which forecast […]

Indian Economy Review | March 2020

Corona response; impact on the economy What appeared very distant just two months ago became a danger signal next door within a few weeks and has now engulfed the whole nation as a full-blown crisis with an unprecedented impact on the country’s health and economy. On January 30, the first Coronavirus case was confirmed in […]

Indian Economy Review | February 2020

Coronavirus impact: No signs of an improvement in economic outlook The economic outlook showed no signs of any improvement in February. The impact of the outbreak of coronavirus, starting from Wuhan in the Hubei province of China and now threatening to engulf many other countries, will be felt not just in terms of the loss […]

Indian Economy Review | January 2020

Mixed signals for the financial sector; more resilient but NPAs may rise  While many banks have begun reporting better financial performance (ICICI Bank declared a 158 per cent jump in its net profit for the third quarter of 2019-20, for instance), the overall prospects for India’s financial sector appear to be quite mixed. A quick […]

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